Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 48.013110 54.000534 60.242351 67.217696 74.777748 82.706826 91.634249
2024-10-20 38.194381 46.845293 56.427748 67.751428 80.687360 94.925722 111.701849
2024-10-27 31.424055 41.083809 52.263481 66.000687 82.263290 100.741154 123.155932
2024-11-03 28.563529 39.329267 52.233197 68.578881 88.462043 111.595787 140.264160
2024-11-10 25.783405 37.251038 51.444901 69.922356 92.942804 120.283030 154.788368
2024-11-17 22.908589 34.700244 49.757315 69.874680 95.505611 126.528719 166.338349
2024-11-24 21.542808 33.957811 50.227899 72.433406 101.240065 136.637204 182.658285
2024-12-01 19.373604 31.894589 48.769627 72.326624 103.469289 142.339031 193.557444
2024-12-08 17.206377 29.618230 46.828174 71.399676 104.492514 146.427848 202.403953
2024-12-15 15.610115 28.013800 45.669752 71.399217 106.633743 151.888253 212.984759
2024-12-22 14.198095 26.549520 44.587291 71.395386 108.692368 157.206049 223.399957
2024-12-29 13.704407 26.455405 45.446033 74.093497 114.424312 167.379460 240.199866
2025-01-05 12.703680 25.499273 45.016053 74.987124 117.778510 174.589469 253.429140
2025-01-12 11.705467 24.461081 44.396292 75.564882 120.693468 181.265718 266.082099
2025-01-19 10.238259 22.480188 42.186317 73.665508 120.003853 183.000522 272.135413
2025-01-26 9.946649 22.517271 43.120940 76.462494 126.028745 193.925633 290.584192
2025-02-02 9.395996 22.035975 43.186521 77.919145 130.129599 202.256378 305.638967
2025-02-09 8.595784 21.016532 42.307800 77.867463 132.002136 207.507480 316.567039
2025-02-16 8.385987 21.094679 43.237743 80.640208 138.060164 218.655087 335.653640
2025-02-23 7.679888 20.138974 42.366440 80.524535 139.807904 223.764539 346.509931
2025-03-02 6.891101 18.932956 40.985907 79.520256 140.166165 226.879807 354.618978
2025-03-09 6.328170 18.131208 40.255712 79.519759 142.011073 232.105359 365.689170
2025-03-16 5.811809 17.371923 39.550007 79.515608 143.824034 237.285024 376.732239